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Will the Russian Federation Survive Until 2024?

That is the question — if it doesn’t land one in a labor camp.

Gavriil Grigorov, Sputnik, Kremlin pool via AP
President Putin and the Russian defense minister, Sergey Shoigu, during their meeting at the Kremlin April 17, 2023. Gavriil Grigorov, Sputnik, Kremlin pool via AP
JAMES BROOKE
JAMES BROOKE

In 1970, the Soviet dissident Andrei Amalrik wrote an essay with a heretical title: “Will the Soviet Union Survive Until 1984?” That earned him derision in the West. From the East, he won a five-year stay in an Arctic labor camp.

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JAMES BROOKE
JAMES BROOKE

Mr. Brooke has traveled to about 100 countries reporting for the New York Times, Bloomberg, and Voice of America. He reported from Russia for eight years and from Ukraine for six years, coming home in 2021.

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