Trump and His Party Now Favored To Win White House and Congress, New Presidential Forecast Predicts

‘No one’s voting today, no one’s picking a president or picking a senator,’ a pollster says. ‘If they did pick them today, this is probably how I’d hand it out.’

Former President Donald Trump speaks at a rally, Thursday, May 23, 2024, in the Bronx borough of New York. (AP Photo/Yuki Iwamura)

The White House, the Senate, and the House of Representatives — Republicans are in the lead to win all three in November, according to forecasts updated on Tuesday by Decision Desk HQ and The Hill.

President Trump has a 57.8 percent chance of winning the election in November, while President Biden has a 42.3 percent chance, the forecast model suggests. As of Tuesday, Mr. Trump is poised to win 282 electoral college votes, while Mr. Biden is poised to win 256. The winning presidential candidate must secure 270 of the 538 available electoral votes. 

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