Study Downplays Iranian Missile Threat, but Analysts Say This Is No Time for Israel and Its Allies To Relax

According to the analysis made public by the AP, Iranian missiles might be less accurate than Tehran claims, and less even than Western analysts previously assessed them to be.

Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader via AP
Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, at Tehran, August 27, 2024. Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader via AP

A new study indicating that Iran’s missile arsenal is much less threatening than previously thought could calm fears in Europe and across the Mideast — but should it?

The study, by the California-based James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies, was leaked to the Associated Press prior to publishing. Iranian missiles are “no longer as valuable for conducting conventional military operations,” the center’s Sam Lair told the AP. “They may be more valuable simply as terror weapons.”

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