Pollsters Struggle To Keep Up With a Shifting Electorate

A number of confounding variables — the pandemic, the state of America’s economy, the Trump factor, and Dobbs v. Jackson — are making polling difficult at the moment.

AP/Rogelio V. Solis, file
Pollsters are having a bad year in 2022. AP/Rogelio V. Solis, file

In the wake of big polling misses related to Tuesday’s special election in New York and in the recent Kansas abortion rights vote, evidence is mounting that polls and projections regarding control of the House may be operating on flawed assumptions.

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