Election Handicapper Nate Silver’s Prediction Model Swings Towards Trump for First Time in Weeks
The recent swings in the forecast highlight the importance of Pennsylvania for the electoral college this cycle.
Election handicapper Nate Silver’s forecasting model is swinging in favor of President Trump in the post-convention pre-Labor Day stretch of the campaign.
Formerly the head of FiveThirtyEight, Mr. Silver’s model is highly respected in the election analysis world and this week it is showing Trump with an advantage over Vice President Harris, giving Trump a 52 percent chance to win in November today, while it had favored Ms. Harris as recently as earlier this week.
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