The NIE’s Threat To Israel
This article is from the archive of The New York Sun before the launch of its new website in 2022. The Sun has neither altered nor updated such articles but will seek to correct any errors, mis-categorizations or other problems introduced during transfer.
Practically every aspect of the National Intelligence Estimate report on the Iranian nuclear program raises questions about its methodology and conclusions, and many of these questions have already been aired.
Were the report’s framers politically motivated? Were they taken in by Iranian counterintelligence, which may have planted some or all of the “evidence” interpreted to indicate that the Iranian nuclear weapons program was suspended in 2003? And if it was suspended, why was it suspended when it was and why has Iran continued to develop long-range ballistic missiles capable of carrying nuclear warheads, pressed ahead with uranium enrichment, and resisted international inspection? And can it be that the NIE, even if right about suspension, is overly sanguine about the amount of time it would take the Iranians to reinstate such a program and build a nuclear weapon?
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