Wall Street Rallies on Robust IBM Results
This article is from the archive of The New York Sun before the launch of its new website in 2022. The Sun has neither altered nor updated such articles but will seek to correct any errors, mis-categorizations or other problems introduced during transfer.
Wall Street advanced sharply today, with solid preliminary results from IBM encouraging investors to go back into the stock market after last week’s rout.
International Business Machines Corp., one of the 30 Dow Jones industrials, released preliminary earnings estimates for the fourth quarter that were 24% above year-earlier levels. The results also beat the forecast of analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial.
After falling nearly 250 points on Friday, the Dow rose more than 170 points today.
“The market was pretty oversold,” a chief market strategist for Stifel Nicolaus, Richard E. Cripps, said. “We were due to bounce back, and the IBM news didn’t hurt.”
IBM’s news, coming before as earnings season is about the get under way in earnest, did raise some hopes that fourth-quarter results might not be as bad as feared.
Investors also moved back into financial services stocks ahead of Citigroup Inc. earnings report tomorrow and Merrill Lynch & Co.’s report on Thursday. It is expected both companies will announce further capital injections to stanch bigger-than-feared mortgage-related losses.
The Dow gained 171.85, or 1.36%, to 12,778.15. IBM was the biggest gainer in the Dow, rising $5.26, or 5.4%, to $102.93.
Broader stock indicators also rose. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index added 15.23, or 1.09%, to 1,416.25 and the Nasdaq composite index shot up 38.36, or 1.57%, to 2,478.30.
Treasurys were trending slightly higher after fluctuating. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note was 3.79%, down from 3.81% late Friday, and then fell to 3.77% in after-hours trading on Monday. Prices and yields trade in opposite directions.
With no major economic data on the calendar, investors focused on corporate and commodities news. Gold futures hit a record, briefly venturing above $913 an ounce as the dollar tumbled against other major currencies. The euro reached a new high above $1.49.
Other commodities were higher, too. Crude oil rose $1.51 to settle at $94.20 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Investment strategist at Leeb Capital Management, Peter Dunay, believes the run in commodities prices will continue as Wall Street eyes what the Federal Reserve will do at its January 29-30 meeting. The Fed chairman, Ben Bernanke, has convinced investors the central bank will cut rates, and the expectation of cheaper money also bolstered sentiment today.
“We’re expecting inflation to be a problem, and believe the commodity demand is going to continue,” Mr. Dunay said. “We think the Fed is going to throw as much money as they can to keep us out of recession, or keep the recession mild, so commodities will be higher.”
Stocks sold off sharply last week after a chorus of Wall Street economists predicted America is about to slide into a recession. The Dow lost 1.51% during the week, the S&P 500 dropped 0.75% and the Nasdaq gave up 2.58%. However, a recession cannot be declared until there are two quarters in a row of economic shrinkage as measured by gross domestic product data, and that has not occurred yet.